Nov 28, 2007, 12:37 AM
Re: [sovietsleepover] What are the odds?
Re: Texas. I'd be very surprised if that was the case, honestly. The Michigan numbers come from the school. Texas, being a far more recent entrant to the top ten in MFAs (due almost entirely to their funding package; they don't even have a proper "permanent" faculty), would be expected to draw far fewer applications than Michigan, which not only has an identical or better package (containing, as it does, a likelihood of post-grad fellowships), but has been a prominent program and national university for some time. While I do believe Texas has been shooting upward in applications each year since their new funding scheme was announced (and is likely well over 400 by this point, if I had to guess), the numbers you've provided above would make Texas the hardest MFA program to get into in the world--literally.
And not by a little bit, either.
To my knowledge, no program has reached that magical 1% acceptance rate yet. Cornell and Virginia are closest, with Brown close behind (again, established programs with far-from-recent reputations). The most telling evidence that your numbers for Texas are high is, actually, UC-Irvine's fiction-application number: Irvine is almost certainly the #1 fiction program in America (though I'm sure Iowa is right up there), and according to the school itself it receives around 300 applications in fiction per year. The notion that Texas gets 33%+ more applications in fiction than Irvine strikes me as unlikely at best, impossible at worst. Realize, too, that application numbers fluctuate: NYU, in the past five years, has been as high as 917 and as low as 658 (and that number has not been sequentially rising, either). So, I suppose it's always possible that UT had a peak somewhere 700+, but that certainly wouldn't preclude its usual figure hovering at 400-500.
(This post was edited by umass76 on Nov 28, 2007, 12:42 AM)